The emergency in Pakistan has revealed the truth
not just about Musharraf's moderate enlightenment, but also about
the country's liberal elite and the collaborationist political leaders,
especially the PPP. President-general Pervez Musharraf's policy
of enlightened moderation is probably buried under the events of
the last few days following the announcement of the emergency/martial.
It is not just that an emergency has been enforced in Pakistan which
is of importance, but its nature and form are also of considerable
interest.
The fact that the Supreme Court has been attacked
by Pervez Musharraf, and the judges removed and/or asked to take
a new oath, was perhaps the most expected response to any potential
extra-constitutional move to be taken by the general. With the court
expected to rule on whether Musharraf was eligible to contest the
election for president of Pakistan (after he had actually done so,
one must add), there was growing speculation that it could rule
against him. There are few people if any, laypersons or analysts,
who believe that Musharraf has imposed the emergency for any "national
interest", as he proclaimed, and there is agreement that this
step was taken exclusively to save his own skin and uniform.
The fact that the lawyers, who have become the vanguard
in a popular struggle against Musharraf, would be targeted, was
also probably expected. After March 9, this year when the chief
justice of Pakistan was first removed, the main opposition in the
streets of Pakistan came from the lawyers all across Pakistan. That
movement from March to September was a popular protest against the
interference of the president-general in the affairs of the highest
judiciary. The lawyers first protested the removal of the chief
justice, and occasionally the movement began to verbally attack
the military as well. Importantly, political parties did not play
a role of any significance in the lawyers' protests, and hence their
movement always remained popular rather than political.
Occasionally, the heavy-handed arm of the military
state also fell upon the media, particularly the electronic media
which was reporting live, almost every public event of the chief
justice and all his meetings. Media persons were roughed up and
some television stations were ransacked by the police, all captured
live on television. All forms of protest were being beamed live
for all to participate in. The current clampdown has this major
difference, that for at least the first eight days, all private
television channels, including those broadcasting news and analysis,
sports, music, and even food programmes, were banned. Even international
news channels have been blocked.
This attack on the media by the president-general
affirms two things. Firstly, that this is an intolerant, dictatorial,
repressive regime, which has no patience with dissent, and for whom
moderate enlightenment has very different meanings than it does
for most people. And, secondly, the recognition that the media now
plays a major role in reporting events, and perhaps even forming
public opinion. The electronic media has certainly arrived, and
plays a critical role in the public sphere in Pakistan. Hence, it
too must now be controlled. How it emerges from the stringent fetters
being imposed on it, will be one of the many interesting sites of
struggle that will mark the immediate future of this country.
The last eight years, certainly till March this
year, had made many well-intentioned Pakistanis forget that President
Pervez Musharraf was actually a general who is the chief of army
staff and that Pakistan was ruled by the army. Musharraf's demeanour
and his clever posturing, both at home and particularly abroad,
as the champion at the frontline state in the war against terrorism,
resulted in the so-called Pakistani liberal elites supporting a
president in uniform. They were quick to put aside the fact that
Pakistan was ruled by an anti-democratic military general, on the
grounds that he was a "liberal", and was a westernised
and enlightened man. In October 1999, when Musharraf overthrew a
democratically elected prime minister, many "civil society"
representatives rushed to welcome him with open arms, and many even
collaborated and joined his cabinet.
Following 9/11, all contradictions for civil society
in supporting a military general were quickly replaced by his so-called
liberal credentials in the fight against Talibanisation and fundamentalism,
both on Pakistan's border, but importantly, also at home. The present
crisis in Pakistan's politics, and it is indeed quite severe and
on multiple fronts, has not been caused by the military or by General
Musharraf alone. One expects the military to behave undemocratically
and dictatorially. It does not represent civil society nor does
it have any ambition or need to bring about a real democratic transition.
That is the task of civil society, liberals, and most importantly,
political actors and parties. Pakistan's civil society and its liberal
elite have been concerned only with Musharraf's "lifestyle"
liberal policies, and in the process, have ignored his anti-democratic,
highly politically illiberal, stance. The choice for them has been
"liberalism", where their lifestyles are protected at
the cost of democracy.
This large, articulate and influential segment has
been a key constituency in support of General Musharraf for much
of these last seven years and a key factor in his largely untroubled
longevity. The emergency has revealed the truth not just about Musharraf's
moderate enlightenment, but also about Pakistan's liberal elite,
as much as it has about the collaborationist and political leaders
of Pakistan, most importantly, the antidemocratic leaders of the
most popular political party, the PPP. At a time when General Musharraf's
regime was on its knees during the lawyers' movement earlier this
year, the leader of the PPP, Benazir Bhutto, was cutting deals with
General Musharraf in order to ensure her political future and fortune,
a deal which was supposed to have rescued assets worth $1.5 billion
through a "reconciliation" ordinance promulgated by Musharraf.
The popular lawyers movement failed to become political precisely
because Bhutto preferred to enter the political arena through the
back door.
At a moment when the Musharraf regime is again weak
and vulnerable, this time with criticism from western countries
as well, the one person who can rescue him and his regime is Benazir
Bhutto. So far, Bhutto has moved rather softly in her criticism
against Musharraf. Their earlier deal, now probably with higher
stakes, required the general to give up his military post if Benazir
would become his prime minister. Beyond repeating that demand, she
has gone no further. There has been nothing said against the military
or the state, nothing against a retired Musharraf as president.
Benazir Bhutto is the only politician of any stature who is free
in Pakistan today, with all minor and important politicians detained.
All roads are still open for a deal between the two, the military
general, preferably retired, and a so-called democratic politician.
Pakistan's politics and its society are about collaboration, not
confrontation.
It is clear that both the general and the prime
ministerial aspirant, are playing the waiting game, hoping that
one gives in before the other, raising their own stakes. Ironically,
despite collaborating with Musharraf over the last few months and
despite the anti-democratic stand taken by her, the choice rests
more with Ms Bhutto than it does with Musharraf. She can agree to
save the latter's political future by agreeing to cut another, better,
deal with him and perpetuate military rule under a new arrangement.
Or, she can, quite out of character, lead a truly democratic struggle,
not just against the emergency, but against Musharraf and against
military rule. However, whatever option she, or anyone else, chooses,
Pakistan's present political crisis is unlikely to be addressed
in the short term.
The emergency/martial law is a temporary measure
-- the presence of the army, a permanent problem. What is sad is
that most Pakistanis have now come to accept the state of military
rule in Pakistan. The crisis of Pakistan is not its emergency or
martial law, neither is it that a military man in uniform has ruled
Pakistan in comfortable authoritarianism without much protest or
opposition. The tragedy of Pakistan is that its supposedly liberal
and enlightened classes and even its political classes are collaborators.
For the liberals their concern is more with a lifestyle
liberalism, which Musharraf has promoted, rather than with a political
liberalism. And for supposedly democratic, political actors, what
matters is that somehow they get access to power. How they get there
is irrelevant.
The writer is a Karachi-based social scientist.
A longer version of this article first appeared in the Bombay-based
Economic and Political Weekly.